Tak tak, to nie żarty. Choć nikt wcześniej nie napisał tego wprost, wynika to jednoznacznie z ogólnie dostępnych statystyk. Czy koniec świata jest bliski? Spróbujmy użyć matematyki z podstawówki w poszukiwaniu odpowiedzi.

Wybaczcie, tego nie da się traktować poważnie. W jednej z gazet wyczytałem, że liczba zachorowań na grypę i podobne choroby (cokolwiek by to nie miało znaczyć) w ciągu poprzedniego tygodnia wyniosła w Polsce dziewięćdzesiąt kilka tysięcy. Z drugiej strony WHO grzmi, że ponad 70% wirusów grypy to odmiana A/H1N1. Proste działanie:

70% * 100 000 = 70 000

Widać więc, że potwierdzone przypadki to tylko wierzchołek góry lodowej (bo chyba wierzymy WHO, czyż nie?) Z drugiej strony, wbrew mediom nie jest prawdą, że ,,wszyscy zginiemy!!!11!~~~!” Wystarczy podzielić liczbę ofiar (według dziennik.pl według ostatnio zaobserwowanego stanu) przez liczbę zachorowań:

1570000 = 0.021%

A więc, szansa na kopnięcie w kalendarz przez świńską grypę jest ponad czterokrotnie mniejsza niż na trafienie czwórki w lotka, zakładając że zachorujemy

Zastrzegam, że to tylko takie luźne piątkowe przemyślenia. Ale nawet jeśli w tej gazecie ktoś pomylił tygodniowe zachorowania z rocznymi, to nadal rzeczona szansa jest mniejsza niż szansa na trafienie trójki.

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